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MNQ Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Short 2R
A public playbook for the MNQ value-area reentry short with a 2R target model.
42 trades / 59.5% win / 3.05 profit factor / +19.88 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A short setup that uses a failed move above value and acceptance back inside value as the trigger for a 2R rotation attempt.
Why It Fires
Failed acceptance outside value can create a fast auction back through the range. A small gap-up context helps define when the upside attempt is vulnerable to fading.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MNQ 1-minute bars with profile levels loaded.
- Mark value area before the trade.
- Wait for price to fail above value and accept back inside.
- Required filter: regime_spy+gap_bucket=up+gap_up_small.
- Use the tested 2R model and invalidate if price accepts back above value.
Good Conditions
- The gap is small enough that fade risk is realistic.
- Value area high acts as a clean rejection line.
- The reentry candle closes with seller control.
- The profile has enough room before POC or value-area low.
Avoid Conditions
- Price is trending above value with no rejection.
- The gap is large and creates a different regime bucket.
- The setup fires straight into POC.
- The value area is distorted by prior holiday or half-day action.
Setup Anatomy
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 1: MNQ Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Short 2R. A short setup that uses a failed move above value and acceptance back inside value as the trigger for a 2R rotation attempt. Filter: regime_spy+gap_bucket=up+gap_up_small. Research sample: 42 trades, 59.5% win, 3.05 PF, +19.88 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.