Natron's Market IntelStrategy Blog Join NatronFX
Strategy Library / ICT / Sweeps Blueprint

MNQ ICT Bearish OB Retest Short 2R

A public playbook for the MNQ ICT bearish order block retest short that passed Strategy Lab narrative and opening-location filters.

40 trades / 57.5% win / 3.31 profit factor / +21.73 avg pts.

MNQ New York 1m Chart Short Setup narrative_tag+first30_close_location=vol expansion+middle 40 Trades
Get Live Alerts Strategy Hub Join NatronFX
Trades 40 Saved Strategy Lab shortlist
Win Rate 57.5% Wins over resolved sample
Profit Factor 3.31 Gross win / gross loss
Total Points +869.20 MNQ points captured
Avg Trade +21.73 Average points per signal
Annotated Setup Chart MNQ / 1m Chart / New York
Annotated MNQ ICT Bearish OB Retest Short 2R setup chart
Generated setup chart based on saved strategy anatomy and research stats, not a trade recommendation.
Research-backed Real stats Rule based Context filtered Live alert ready

What This Setup Is

A short setup that waits for bearish displacement, marks the last opposing candle as supply, and only acts when price retests and rejects that block.

Why It Fires

A clean displacement leg can reveal where sellers took control. When price returns to that supply block and fails, the retest can offer a defined invalidation point for a 2R short.

Exact Trigger Checklist

  • Chart: MNQ 1-minute bars during the New York setup window.
  • Find a bearish displacement leg that breaks local structure.
  • Mark the last bullish candle or supply zone before displacement.
  • Required filter: narrative_tag+first30_close_location=vol expansion+middle.
  • Short only on a controlled retest that rejects the block.

Good Conditions

  • The displacement leg is obvious before the retest.
  • The first 30-minute close is in the tested middle-location bucket.
  • Narrative context supports volatility expansion.
  • Price rejects the supply block without accepting above it.

Avoid Conditions

  • The order block is selected after the move has already worked.
  • Price accepts above the block and turns it into support.
  • The stop is too large relative to the 2R target path.
  • A headline shock changes the volatility narrative after entry.

Setup Anatomy

Bearish displacement chart anatomy for Displacement Step 01
1 Displacement A strong bearish leg breaks local structure.
Bearish value zone or supply block chart anatomy for Supply Block Step 02
2 Supply Block Mark the supply zone created before displacement.
Bearish retest and rejection chart anatomy for Retest / Reject Step 03
3 Retest / Reject Price revisits the block and rejects below invalidation.
Alert Readout

Tier 1: MNQ ICT Bearish OB Retest Short 2R. A short setup that waits for bearish displacement, marks the last opposing candle as supply, and only acts when price retests and rejects that block. Filter: narrative_tag+first30_close_location=vol expansion+middle. Research sample: 40 trades, 57.5% win, 3.31 PF, +21.73 avg pts.