Natron's Market IntelStrategy Blog
Join NatronFX
MNQ Harmonic ABCD Completion Short 2R - VIX Down
A public playbook for the MNQ Harmonic ABCD Completion Short 2R - VIX Down Strategy Lab published edge.
21 trades / 61.9% win / 3.54 profit factor / +16.02 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A Fibonacci short setup that waits for a clean ABCD completion zone, then acts only after price confirms the zone.
Why It Fires
Fib zones can concentrate reaction flow. If price confirms the ABCD completion instead of accepting through it, the setup has a defined invalidation path.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MNQ 1-minute bars during the New York setup window.
- Build the pattern before entry; do not label it after the move has already worked.
- Required filter: regime_vix+entry_vix=down+down.
- Short only after the trigger confirms and acceptance holds.
- Use the tested 2R model and invalidate above the setup zone.
Good Conditions
- The measured leg is clear before entry.
- The Fib zone aligns with visible structure.
- The confirmation candle gives a practical invalidation point.
- The tested filter bucket supports the reaction.
Avoid Conditions
- The Fib pattern is forced from noisy overlapping swings.
- Price accepts through the zone instead of reacting.
- The trigger occurs after the first reaction already traveled.
- The target path runs directly into nearby opposing structure.
Setup Anatomy
Step 01
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 2: MNQ Harmonic ABCD Completion Short 2R - VIX Down. A Fibonacci short setup that waits for a clean ABCD completion zone, then acts only after price confirms the zone. Filter: regime_vix+entry_vix=down+down. Research sample: 21 trades, 61.9% win, 3.54 PF, +16.02 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.