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MES Wyckoff Upthrust Stopping Volume Short 2R
A public playbook for the MES Wyckoff Upthrust Stopping Volume Short 2R Strategy Lab published edge.
31 trades / 54.8% win / 2.69 profit factor / +3.69 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A Wyckoff/VSA short setup that looks for a failed push above resistance, stopping volume, and markdown back below the shelf.
Why It Fires
An upthrust can trap breakout buyers. When effort fails to create acceptance higher, the failed auction can rotate lower.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MES 1-minute bars during the New York setup window.
- Build the pattern before entry; do not label it after the move has already worked.
- Required filter: regime_vix+gap_bucket=up+gap_up_small.
- Short only after the trigger confirms and acceptance holds.
- Use the tested 2R model and invalidate above the setup zone.
Good Conditions
- The pattern is visible before entry and not forced from noisy bars.
- The tested filter bucket matches the live market context.
- The trigger has room before the next obvious opposing level.
- The stop is reasonable relative to the tested target model.
Avoid Conditions
- The setup is selected after the trade has already worked.
- Price instantly rejects the trigger and returns into the prior range.
- The filter bucket does not match the saved research edge.
- The trade fires directly into scheduled macro volatility or a major opposing level.
Setup Anatomy
Step 01
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 3: MES Wyckoff Upthrust Stopping Volume Short 2R. A Wyckoff/VSA short setup that looks for a failed push above resistance, stopping volume, and markdown back below the shelf. Filter: regime_vix+gap_bucket=up+gap_up_small. Research sample: 31 trades, 54.8% win, 2.69 PF, +3.69 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.