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Strategy Library / Wyckoff / VSA Blueprint

MES Wyckoff No Supply Pullback Break Long 2R

A public playbook for the MES Wyckoff no-supply pullback break long with a tested dollar and gap filter.

36 trades / 61.1% win / 3.62 profit factor / +3.93 avg pts.

MES New York 1m Chart Long Setup recipe_dxy_down_or_flat+gap_bucket=pass+gap_down_large 36 Trades
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Trades 36 Saved Strategy Lab shortlist
Win Rate 61.1% Wins over resolved sample
Profit Factor 3.62 Gross win / gross loss
Total Points +141.48 MES points captured
Avg Trade +3.93 Average points per signal
Annotated Setup Chart MES / 1m Chart / New York
Annotated MES Wyckoff No Supply Pullback Break Long 2R setup chart
Generated setup chart based on saved strategy anatomy and research stats, not a trade recommendation.
Research-backed Real stats Rule based Context filtered Live alert ready

What This Setup Is

A long setup that waits for a bullish structure break, a low-effort pullback, and a renewed push through the pullback high.

Why It Fires

A no-supply pullback shows sellers are not getting meaningful downside response. When buyers break the pullback high, the next leg can continue with a clear invalidation point.

Exact Trigger Checklist

  • Chart: MES 1-minute bars during the New York setup window.
  • Confirm an existing bullish impulse before the pullback.
  • Wait for a quiet pullback with limited seller follow-through.
  • Required filter: recipe_dxy_down_or_flat+gap_bucket=pass+gap_down_large.
  • Go long only when price breaks back through the pullback high.

Good Conditions

  • The pullback volume or range contracts instead of expanding lower.
  • Dollar context is down or flat enough to support the long.
  • The gap-down context has already stabilized.
  • The break has room before the next supply zone.

Avoid Conditions

  • The pullback accelerates lower with strong seller response.
  • The dollar turns sharply up into the entry.
  • The structure break is unclear or labeled late.
  • The trade triggers directly into prior resistance.

Setup Anatomy

Continuation path chart anatomy for Impulse Step 01
1 Impulse A bullish leg sets the direction before the pullback.
Market context filter chart anatomy for No Supply Step 02
2 No Supply The pullback shows weak seller response.
Channel breakout chart anatomy for Break Step 03
3 Break Price breaks the pullback high to confirm continuation.
Alert Readout

Tier 1: MES Wyckoff No Supply Pullback Break Long 2R. A long setup that waits for a bullish structure break, a low-effort pullback, and a renewed push through the pullback high. Filter: recipe_dxy_down_or_flat+gap_bucket=pass+gap_down_large. Research sample: 36 trades, 61.1% win, 3.62 PF, +3.93 avg pts.