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MES Wyckoff No Demand Pullback Break Short 2R
A public playbook for the MES Wyckoff No Demand Pullback Break Short 2R Strategy Lab published edge.
39 trades / 59.0% win / 2.73 profit factor / +2.47 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A short VSA setup that waits for a weak rally, no-demand pullback behavior, and a break that confirms sellers still control the tape.
Why It Fires
No-demand rallies show buyers are not getting follow-through. A break from that pullback can reopen the downside path.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MES 1-minute bars during the New York setup window.
- Build the pattern before entry; do not label it after the move has already worked.
- Required filter: side_regime_alignment+gap_bucket=against+gap_up_medium.
- Short only after the trigger confirms and acceptance holds.
- Use the tested 2R model and invalidate above the setup zone.
Good Conditions
- The pattern is visible before entry and not forced from noisy bars.
- The tested filter bucket matches the live market context.
- The trigger has room before the next obvious opposing level.
- The stop is reasonable relative to the tested target model.
Avoid Conditions
- The setup is selected after the trade has already worked.
- Price instantly rejects the trigger and returns into the prior range.
- The filter bucket does not match the saved research edge.
- The trade fires directly into scheduled macro volatility or a major opposing level.
Setup Anatomy
Step 01
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 1: MES Wyckoff No Demand Pullback Break Short 2R. A short VSA setup that waits for a weak rally, no-demand pullback behavior, and a break that confirms sellers still control the tape. Filter: side_regime_alignment+gap_bucket=against+gap_up_medium. Research sample: 39 trades, 59.0% win, 2.73 PF, +2.47 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.