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MES Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Long 2R
A public playbook for the MES value-area reentry long that passed Strategy Lab regime and opening-location filters.
34 trades / 55.9% win / 2.53 profit factor / +4.22 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A long setup that uses a failed move below value, acceptance back inside value, and a 2R rotation model toward the profile interior.
Why It Fires
When price rejects below value and re-enters the range, trapped sellers can fuel a rotation back toward POC or the opposite side of value.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MES 1-minute bars with profile levels loaded.
- Mark value area high, value area low, and POC before the trigger.
- Wait for price to fail below value and accept back inside.
- Required filter: regime_spy+first30_close_location=up+near_high.
- Go long only after the reentry candle confirms acceptance.
Good Conditions
- The failed low happens near a clean value-area reference.
- SPY regime and first-30 close location match the tested filter.
- The reentry candle closes with buyer control.
- POC or the value-area high is a realistic rotation target.
Avoid Conditions
- Price accepts below value and builds value lower.
- The first-30 close does not match the saved location bucket.
- The trade triggers after price has already reached POC.
- Prior holiday or half-day profile levels distort the read.
Setup Anatomy
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 1: MES Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Long 2R. A long setup that uses a failed move below value, acceptance back inside value, and a 2R rotation model toward the profile interior. Filter: regime_spy+first30_close_location=up+near_high. Research sample: 34 trades, 55.9% win, 2.53 PF, +4.22 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.