Natron's Market IntelStrategy Blog
Join NatronFX
MES Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Long 2R - DXY Up Gap Down
A public playbook for the MES Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Long 2R - DXY Up Gap Down Strategy Lab published edge.
28 trades / 57.1% win / 5.88 profit factor / +11.37 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A long setup that waits for price to accept back inside value and rotate toward POC.
Why It Fires
When price fails outside value and returns inside, POC can act like a magnet for unfinished auction business.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: MES 1-minute bars with prior-session profile levels visible.
- Mark value area edge, value area, and POC before entry.
- Required filter: recipe_dxy_up_or_flat+gap_bucket=pass+gap_down_large.
- Go long only after the profile trigger confirms.
- Use the tested 2R model and invalidate if price accepts back through the profile reference.
Good Conditions
- The profile levels are clean and not distorted by holiday or half-day action.
- Acceptance is clear rather than one wick through the level.
- POC or the next value edge gives a realistic target path.
- The tested filter bucket supports the auction direction.
Avoid Conditions
- Price chops through profile levels with no acceptance.
- The profile reference is stale or cluttered by multiple overlapping levels.
- The setup fires directly into POC with no room.
- The filter bucket disagrees with the published edge.
Setup Anatomy
Step 02
Step 03
Tier 2: MES Volume Profile Value Area Reentry Long 2R - DXY Up Gap Down. A long setup that waits for price to accept back inside value and rotate toward POC. Filter: recipe_dxy_up_or_flat+gap_bucket=pass+gap_down_large. Research sample: 28 trades, 57.1% win, 5.88 PF, +11.37 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.