Natron's Market IntelStrategy Blog
Join NatronFX
ICT Bearish FVG Retest
A public playbook for the bearish ICT fair value gap retest research edge.
33 trades / 42.4% win / 1.86 profit factor / +26.73 avg pts.
What This Setup Is
A short-side imbalance setup that waits for bearish displacement to leave a fair value gap, then looks for price to retest and reject that imbalance.
Why It Fires
A bearish imbalance can act like unfinished auction business. If the retest cannot reclaim through the gap, sellers may defend the zone and continue the move lower.
Exact Trigger Checklist
- Chart: 1-minute futures bars during active New York trade hours.
- Identify a bearish displacement candle sequence that leaves a visible gap.
- Mark the fair value gap before the retest.
- Short only after price trades back into the gap and rejects.
- Use the tested retest model; avoid chasing after the move has already extended.
Good Conditions
- The gap is produced by real displacement rather than random chop.
- The retest stays orderly and rejects from the imbalance.
- There is open air below entry before the next support pocket.
- Volatility is active enough to continue after the retest.
Avoid Conditions
- Price fully fills and accepts through the gap.
- The imbalance is tiny or buried inside a noisy range.
- The retest happens after the target area has already been reached.
- The setup fires directly into scheduled macro volatility.
Setup Anatomy
Step 01
Step 03
Alert Approved: ICT Bearish FVG Retest. A short-side imbalance setup that waits for bearish displacement to leave a fair value gap, then looks for price to retest and reject that imbalance. Filter: Strategy Lab base edge. Research sample: 33 trades, 42.4% win, 1.86 PF, +26.73 avg pts.
Trading this setup inside a funded account? Run the funding readiness check, compare the timing against the Trading Sessions Guide and the New York session guide, then compare prop firm rules before you size the session.