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Strategy Library / ORB Blueprint

15m ORB Upside Break

A public playbook for the 15-minute opening range upside breakout research edge.

81 trades / 53.1% win / 1.07 profit factor / +3.90 avg pts.

MNQ / MES New York 15m Chart Long Setup Strategy Lab base edge 81 Trades
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Trades 81 Saved Strategy Lab research edge
Win Rate 53.1% Wins over resolved sample
Profit Factor 1.07 Gross win / gross loss
Total Points +316.26 MNQ / MES points captured
Avg Trade +3.90 Average points per signal
Annotated Setup Chart MNQ / MES / 15m Chart / New York
Annotated 15m ORB Upside Break setup chart
Generated setup chart based on saved strategy anatomy and research stats, not a trade recommendation.
Research-backed Real stats Rule based Context filtered Live alert ready

What This Setup Is

A long setup that defines the first 15-minute range, waits for price to accept above the range high, and looks for continuation after the opening balance breaks.

Why It Fires

The opening range often becomes the first institutional reference. A clean upside break can force failed shorts to cover and pull momentum buyers into the move.

Exact Trigger Checklist

  • Build the opening range from the first 15 minutes of the New York session.
  • Mark the opening range high and low before entry.
  • Go long only after price breaks and accepts above the range high.
  • Require enough room before the first obvious resistance or prior-session level.
  • Manage invalidation around the broken range or tested structure stop.

Good Conditions

  • The opening range is clean and not built entirely from one news spike.
  • The break holds above the range instead of instantly failing back inside.
  • VIX, dollar, or risk context does not fight the long.
  • Follow-through volume expands after the range breaks.

Avoid Conditions

  • Price breaks the high and snaps back into the range.
  • The range is too wide to support a reasonable stop.
  • A major macro release is seconds away.
  • The break fires directly into a prior high with no room.

Setup Anatomy

Market context filter chart anatomy for Opening Range Step 01
1 Opening Range Define the first 15-minute high and low.
Channel breakout chart anatomy for Breakout Step 02
2 Breakout Price accepts above the opening range high.
Continuation path chart anatomy for Continuation Step 03
3 Continuation The setup looks for upside expansion after acceptance.
Alert Readout

Research Edge: 15m ORB Upside Break. A long setup that defines the first 15-minute range, waits for price to accept above the range high, and looks for continuation after the opening balance breaks. Filter: Strategy Lab base edge. Research sample: 81 trades, 53.1% win, 1.07 PF, +3.90 avg pts.